GE15 2022 4 / VoR / Eco Lim

 PH beat PN by 1.2 million popular votes. If PH can't form the government, then the rakyat's mandate is robbed again

Tommy

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Thomas the ex AG has stated that the correct procedure in a hung parliament situation is that the constitutional monarch should give the opportunity for the leader of the party with the most seats to form the government. And when parliament convenes in usually, a month, the appointed leader can demonstrate a vote of confidence then. If he cannot then and only then another party be given the chance to lead.

If such is the case, I hope PH has the plan to mobilise a peaceful show of force at the palace. Must be mostly Melayus. Not like the Bersih rally mostly Chinese and Indians. This King has a unique way of appointing PMs and perhaps he should be guided when the results are there. Even if PH wins 90+ or better 100+, his duty and prerogative is only DSAI. *VERY URGENT, VERY IMPORTANT* .

The true power of the government lie with the VOTERS, not the party, nor the winning candidates.

Therefore it's the voters who should be given the mandate to form the government.

So the analysis of the number of votes that each party has garnered should be considered by the Agong before he invites the party leaderships to form the government.

That indeed is the true strength of any party.

In a negotiation to form a government all parties are to be recognised only on the aggregate number of votes won by the individual parties, not the number of seats won. That truly is democracy, (government by the majority). The formation of the government cannot be left entirely to 4 or 5 party leaders or the 112 candidates who won their seats.

This is a very valid and fairer representation of the

''government by the people'' (one of the 3 principles of democracy) .

Pakatan Harapan should present this to the Agong immediately. He should take his time to get the figures of each parties from the SPR.

_From Dato Dr Ridzuan 0173887585

Please viral quickly. *Please share this to all Sabahans, Sarawakians, all political parties and all Malaysians*

Please join me to push this

Pakatan Harapan is to be given the FIRST right to form the coalition of parties that will make up the simple majority to form Government. Hence, we need to convinve hard that GRS and GPS will join PH. If they don't want to join PH, then the right will be given to the next bloc to garner support from other parties to form the coalition that will make the simple majority.

If any NGO, Association, Councils, Unions, Bodies, Societies, chambers, communities, please *VOICE OUT* the support for PH now before too late.

Actually, we can do something. We are in the marketplace. Share with your business people in Sabah and Sarawak that they should tell GRS and GPS to work with PH and not let the country be governed by an extremist party

*Please share this to all Sabahans, Sarawakians, all political parties and all Malaysians*

GE15 2022 3 / GE15 ushers in a waiting game

 Murray Hunter

The general election results indicate a number of trends that will shape the future political landscape. With no coalition holding enough parliamentary seats to form a simple majority, some form of inter-dependent politics will be needed before any government could be formed.

There were no uniform trends. Different parts of the country voted in different ways. Those politicians who didn’t perform well or who were branded traitors by their former party were severely punished.

These included Azmin Ali and Zuraida Kamaruddin, who played a leading role in the Sheraton Move, and Maszlee Malik, who performed poorly as education minister.

With a turnout of 75%, there were no “giveaways” before the results were released about which coalition would benefit. A low turnout was expected to favour Barisan Nasional, while a high turnout was expected to favour the opposition, Pakatan Harapan.

Instead, the turnout didn’t favour any group, with the youth vote not being the game-changer the opposition had hoped for.

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In fact, the overall percentage vote for PH declined.

DAP, which held 47 seats before the election, won 40 this time, with its vote share falling from 19.94% in 2018 to 18%.

Hardest hit was Anwar Ibrahim’s PKR, which won 31 seats, a loss of 11. PKR’s vote share dropped from 18.92% to 14%.

Amanah lost three seats while winning eight, and UPKO won two seats, a gain of one.

What makes PH the largest group heading into the new parliament is not its outstanding electoral performance, but rather the split in the vote within the Malay heartlands, formerly the territory of Barisan Nasional and Perikatan Nasional.

BN had dominated this section of the electoral map since independence. PAS had built a foothold, winning 18 seats in 2018, and Bersatu, under the leadership of Dr Mahathir Mohamad in 2018, was able to take 13 seats from Umno, the dominating member of the BN.

Umno’s dominance of the Malay heartlands this time dropped from 54 seats to 20 in West Malaysia, with an additional seven won in Sabah. Umno’s vote fell from 20.9% in 2018, to just 12%.

The real winner of the night, as many pundits were expecting, was PN.

Muhyiddin Yasin’s Bersatu, the lynchpin of PN, went from 13 seats to 24 seats, going from 5.95% to 11% of the vote. PAS, led by Abdul Hadi Awang, gained a massive 31 seats to finish with 49 seats in the new Parliament. The PAS vote has risen from 16.82% to 22%.

PAS is now the senior party in the PN coalition, and Hadi is a candidate for prime minister.

Over in Sarawak, Gabungan Parti Sarawak (GPS), which already governs the state, won 22 out of 31 parliamentary seats. This is up from 19 in 2018. GPS has held meetings with both PH leaders Anwar and Loke Siew Fook, and separately with Muhyiddin and Hadi about forming a government.

The political landscape of Sabah is now clearly divided between three groupings. Umno Sabah has seven seats, Gabungan Rakyat Sabah has six, and Warisan three, with the remainder held by DAP (two), PKR (one) and Bersatu (one).

It looks like Sabah, unlike Sarawak, will not be rid of the influence of peninsula-based political parties.

Perlis experienced an electoral tsunami, as PN wiped out the BN state government. All state parliamentarians, including the menteri besar Azlan Man, lost their seats. The loss occurred after Shahidan Kassim, dropped from Umno’s candidate list, promised a wipe-out of BN from the state.

State elections in Pahang and Perak left the state legislatures hanging in the balance, with a BN-PN coalition government likely.

Umno president Ahmad Zahid Hamidi had forced the nation into a general election during the monsoon season.

His poor leadership has led to widespread calls for him to resign. Should he do so, the absence of political protection will leave him open to forthcoming prosecutions against him,

Although Zahid just scraped into his seat of Bagan Datuk by fewer than 400 votes, he is now personally open to the full weight of the law.

PN had been able, with PAS as the anchor, to make major inroads into the Malay heartlands. Umno’s grip on political power in Malaysia could be coming to an end.

It’s clear that civil servants, the military, Malay professionals and young Malay voters have thrown their support behind PN, evidenced by its win in Putrajaya.

Malays have accepted the political Islam-Malay nationalist approach propagated by Hadi.

PH made many mistakes in candidate selection. However, this would not have made up the numbers in the final seat tally.

The Malaysian electoral map has clearly changed from the voter sentiment displayed in the Johor state election early this year. There was the absence of jailed former prime minister Najib Razak, who led the Umno crusade during the Johor and Melaka campaigns.

In contrast, Ismail Sabri Yaakob stayed in his own electorate to safeguard his own seat of Bera. Zahid did the same. It almost appeared that Khairy Jamaluddin, who was given the unwinnable seat of Sungai Buloh, was the unofficial leader of Umno.

BN’s state of affairs was in contrast to the role taken by Anwar, who made whistlestop tours around the nation by helicopter during the campaign, displaying the old “reformasi” fervour he was famous for.

With the new political landscape in mind, Sarawak’s GPS is the obvious kingmaker of any new government. There are two basic choices for GPS to make. There are positives and negatives in both choices.

On the PN side, PAS is not welcome because of their political Islamic policies. DAP, on the PH side, is disliked because of what is seen as chauvinism.

However, there could be an unexpected coalition cobbled together before any anti-hoping laws take effect, once inside the parliament.

GE15 2022 1 / ANWAR IBRAHIM CONFIDENT THAT THAT HE CAN FORM THE NEXT GOVERNMENT!

ES Shankar 

As I stuck my neck out and predicted on Friday, Pakatan Harapan (PH) has emerged as the single biggest victor at the 2022 General Election. However, as I also stated then, unless PH secured at least 112 seats, it would not be able to automatically form the next government.

As it stands, PH has won, as of this morning, 81 seats which is 31 short of a clear majority. We therefore have a 'Hung Parliament' situation as no other political party has, on its own, more seats than PH.

PH leader Anwar Ibrahim says he 'has the numbers'. Refer https://bit.ly/3V9Lx4G

But we have been there before. So, I hope that he will be able to garner the support of GPR & GRS of Sarawak and Sabah as well as Warisan, MUDA and the other independents to get past the 112 barrier comfortably.

Anwar, in desperation, might be tempted to "do a deal" with UMNO or PN and even PAS. That would compromise PH supporters' principles and place them in a terrible dilemma. Sharing the bed with the Devil might be too high a price to pay to secure power. The track record of UMNO/PN/PAS in recent times has been that of utter corruption, backstabbing, treachery and open looting and plundering of the Rakyat's money.

So, this may well be Anwar Ibrahim's finest hour or his worst. I pray the Gods will guide him on to the right path and that he will achieve the success he so clearly deserves after relentlessly fighting on our behalf for 25 years!

Can We The Rakyat Expect A TSUNAMI ......

...or should we even accept anything less than a TSUNAMI after witnessing the massive turnouts throughout the country just last night ......

in Tambun ... thats because Anwar was the VVIP 

..at Jalan Laxamana.. Ipoh ...it was the same ..Yes Anwar also showed up here ....

..at Taiping ...and with Wong Kah Woh ... 1st time in Taiping 

or with Young Syefura Othman aka Rara at Bentong, Pahang 

...or Anthony Loke in Seremban 

,..or witness the turnout at Hannah Yeoh's Segambut  

.....and can we have SOLIDARITY with the flooding "Pesta Mengundi' voters of Long Bemang, Apoh Baram, Sarawak ......

Kita Boleh .... ??????

HARAPAN-kan....

TAMBUN - The Change is Here

Tambun…aahh the name conjures up so much nostalgia …. the mountains surrounding the town, the quaint junction town that leads one to Ipoh, Tanjong Rambutan and Ampang ….

Ah Sai the pomelo distributor throughout the country is located here ….the centre of pomelo orchards is synonamous with Tambun….

I wonder if it was Anwar that chose Tambun or was it the other way around …that Tambun charmed Anwar to contest here …. to enable him to think clearly and see the way to make this great country of mine / ours great again.

Well within 48 hours we’ll find out. It’s Now Or Never.

 KITA BOLEH

The Tambun Bird.....Is it called a CouCal .......

I captured this bird on some years back.I was driving a Kembara on a bicycle track along the Hulu Kinta area when i saw this bird in the trees...it had rained earlier so i guess it was wet and was ruffling its wing to shake off the water...it was big..  way bigger than the house bird..and somewhere half the size of a crow .

.it had colorful feathers and it was in the bushes...i stopped the car and started photographing it..as you would imagine it flew away..but it went to the open space and perched itself on a higher branch...and spread its wings.....wow this was an opportunity...then my camera was a nikon coolpix...shutter intervals can be... duh!!!!

but i creeped quietly and patiently snapped my bird ..it was sashaying its back feathers and spreading its wings...it went higher up the branch....which was good.....

i just clicked every time the camera was ready...zoomed in as far as i could and managed to get some of these shots below....

as it kept its wings open i guess it was just trying to dry itself...but what an opportunity.....being able to have a bird pose for you in the buff as it were!!....

..by the time i had enough it was almost at the top of the branch...wings all spread out...i got the feeling maybe this bird was being a little berlagak/ likes an audience ...but heck why not..now i can share these shots.....

..i called it the Tambun bird initially cause i saw it off the Tambun - Tg Rambutan road. Several months later i actually saw it again in the Bandar Baru Tambun area...but that was moons ago  ... 

KK